A quick look at Tesla's expected move and its recent history of moves on earnings versus what was expected (via Options AI)
Tesla earnings - Today 4:25pm - | expected move by this Friday: 6.6% (last earnings: -5.0% day after)
Tesla's bullish consensus is roughly $455 and its bearish is roughly $400. That's well inside its recent high and low in September, into and out of its split. The stock's high low ranges have narrowed since then and traders are pricing in a fairly normal move for earnings, in line with its last move, which saw the stock close down 5% the trading day following earnings after being down nearly 8% intraday.
Its prior 4 earnings events saw next day moves of +18%, +10%, +2.5% and most recently -5%.
Of its last 10 expected moves, it has been inside (moved less than expected) 5 times. Move roughly in line with the expected move 3 times, and had outsized moves beyond expected twice.